Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2793
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow
WN 2793 · MCO → RSW
departs 8:56 PM ET · arrives 10:06 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 27h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at RSW more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±2 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
45%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RSW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Arrive at RSW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to RSW?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 37% of the time recently
↓
Other factors
↓
Gusts to 29 kt forecast at MCO that day
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 29 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
RSW (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.