WN 2915 · MDW → BUR

departs 10:19 AM CT · arrives 12:56 PM PT

Forecast issued Sat 6:00 AM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at BUR more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to BUR?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ BUR is prone to delays

↑ 10am departures from MDW are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MDW

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

MDW (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BUR (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2915 · MDW → BUR

Odds over time

How late will it get to BUR?