WN 2922 · SAN → HOU

took off 10:43 AM PT · expected to land 3:05 PM CT (scheduled 10:37 AM PT → 3:47 PM CT)

Forecast issued Sat 1:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to HOU?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 22% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into HOU at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SAN

Weather at each end

SAN (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.23 in

HOU (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling1,000 ft Visibility9.66667 mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2922 · SAN → HOU

Odds over time

How late will it get to HOU?