Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2982
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow
WN 2982 · MDW → SAT
departs 6:16 PM CT · arrives 9:01 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 2:00 PM ET · 29h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 33%
Sat 10/31
Sun 11/1 35%
Mon 11/2 27%
Thu 11/5 35%
Odds over time
Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±5 pts
+17 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +17 pts in 24h
+17 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at SAT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SAT?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
6pm departures from MDW are often late
↓
MDW is quiet at that time
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MDW (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.20 in
SAT (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.