Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 298
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Today
WN 298 · AUS → DAL
departs 5:30 PM CT · arrives 6:41 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 1:00 AM ET · 18h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Tue 11/3 34%
Wed 11/4 47%
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±4 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into DAL at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at AUS that day
Weather at each end
AUS (origin)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.02 in
DAL (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.08 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.