Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3007
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31
WN 3007 · SJD → HOU
departs 9:41 AM MST · arrives 2:20 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 5:00 PM ET · 68h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 23%
Thu 10/29 18%
Fri 10/30 16%
Sat 10/31
Sun 11/1 23%
Mon 11/2 19%
Tue 11/3 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
13%
chance · ±1 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
13%
Leave 15+ late
15%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.5d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Leave SJD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Arrive at HOU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HOU?
On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into HOU at that hour are often late
↑
SJD is busy at that time
↑
Other factors
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SJD
↓
WN's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
SJD (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
HOU (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.