WN 3011 · MDW → CVG

departs 1:29 PM CT · arrives 3:50 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 7:00 AM ET · 8h before departure

Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?

10% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CVG?

On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ 1pm departures from MDW are often late

↑ This flight has been late 19% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MDW

↓ CVG usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MDW (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CVG (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3011 · MDW → CVG

Odds over time

How late will it get to CVG?