Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3013
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow
WN 3013 · SAN → DEN
departs 5:46 PM PT · arrives 9:03 PM MT
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 26h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±6 pts
+11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
45%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
5pm departures from SAN are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Cloud base down to 300 ft forecast at DEN that day
↓
DEN usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
SAN (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.04 in
DEN (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.