Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 306
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31
WN 306 · CUN → HOU
departs 1:52 PM EST · arrives 4:23 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 65h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 25%
Thu 10/29 28%
Fri 10/30 26%
Sat 10/31
Sun 11/1 20%
Mon 11/2 20%
Tue 11/3 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed – in 24h
–
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave CUN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed – in 24h
–
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at HOU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HOU?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into HOU at that hour are often late
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at HOU
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at CUN
↓
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
CUN (origin)
Gusts — Ceiling — Visibility — Precip none
HOU (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.