Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3126
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31
WN 3126 · MSY → MCO
departs 1:01 PM CT · arrives 4:00 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 PM ET · 66h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 19%
Thu 10/29 30%
Fri 10/30 33%
Sat 10/31
Sun 11/1 32%
Mon 11/2 30%
Tue 11/3 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±4 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed – in 24h
–
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave MSY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed – in 24h
–
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↑
1pm departures from MSY are often late
↑
This flight has been late 22% of the time recently
↓
Gusts to 30 kt forecast at MCO that day
↓
WN's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
MSY (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 1,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.08 in
MCO (destination)
Gusts 30 kt Ceiling 4,600 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.