Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3214
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31
WN 3214 · OGG → HNL
departs 9:52 AM HT · arrives 10:50 AM HT
Forecast issued Thu 1:00 AM ET · 63h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 13%
Fri 10/30 7%
Sat 10/31
Sun 11/1 9%
Mon 11/2 10%
Tue 11/3 11%
Wed 11/4 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?
7%
chance · ±0 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
7%
Leave 15+ late
4%
Arrive 1h+ late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
3%
6%
9%
12%
6.7d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Leave OGG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Arrive at HNL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HNL?
On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
HNL is prone to delays
↑
Other factors
↓
WN's recent on-time record
↓
9am departures from OGG are usually not late
Weather at each end
OGG (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
HNL (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.