Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3238
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow
WN 3238 · MDW → MKE
departs 7:16 PM CT · arrives 8:09 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 27h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 40%
Sat 10/31
Sun 11/1 48%
Mon 11/2 34%
Thu 11/5 44%
Odds over time
Arrive at MKE more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±2 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MKE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at MKE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MKE?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
7pm departures from MDW are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
MKE usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MDW (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.07 in
MKE (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.