Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3282
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow
WN 3282 · ONT → SJC
departs 5:29 PM PT · arrives 6:58 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 28h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 27%
Sat 10/31
Sun 11/1 39%
Mon 11/2 27%
Tue 11/3 25%
Wed 11/4 23%
Thu 11/5 37%
Odds over time
Arrive at SJC more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±3 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SJC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave ONT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at SJC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to SJC?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into SJC at that hour are often late
↓
ONT usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SJC
Weather at each end
ONT (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.01 in
SJC (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.