Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3393
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow
WN 3393 · PHX → ELP
departs 6:44 PM MT · arrives 9:09 PM MT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 24h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 64%
Sat 10/31
Mon 11/2 44%
Thu 11/5 51%
Odds over time
Arrive at ELP more than 15 minutes late?
52%
chance · ±4 pts
+14 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
52%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ELP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 40% · changed +14 pts in 24h
+14 pts
52%
Yes 52%
No 48%
Leave PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 43% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at ELP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ELP?
On time or early
47%
15–30 min late
25%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
6pm departures from PHX are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ELP
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
PHX (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.14 in
ELP (destination)
Gusts 5 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.09 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.