WN 3508 · LAS → BUR

took off 12:29 PM PT · expected to land 1:11 PM PT (scheduled 11:46 AM PT → 1:11 PM PT)

Forecast issued Sat 2:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at BUR more than 15 minutes late?

12% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to BUR?

LIVE

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 11am departures from LAS are often late

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ BUR is prone to delays

↓ Other factors

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

BUR (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.07 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3508 · LAS → BUR

Odds over time

How late will it get to BUR?