Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 353
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow
WN 353 · LAS → MSY
departs 5:36 PM PT · arrives 11:08 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 27h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?
48%
chance · ±4 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
48%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at MSY more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MSY?
On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
5pm departures from LAS are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
0.3 in of rain forecast at MSY that day
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MSY (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 9.33333 mi Precip 0.28 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.