Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3554
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow
WN 3554 · MDW → OKC
departs 6:56 PM CT · arrives 9:05 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 26h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 46%
Sat 10/31
Mon 11/2 26%
Tue 11/3 20%
Wed 11/4 26%
Thu 11/5 30%
Odds over time
Arrive at OKC more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±1 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at OKC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at OKC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to OKC?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
6pm departures from MDW are often late
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
OKC usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MDW (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.07 in
OKC (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.