Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3565
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow
WN 3565 · LAS → BOI
departs 7:51 PM PT · arrives 10:42 PM MT
Forecast issued Sat 12:00 AM ET · 23h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at BOI more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±7 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
50%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
7.0d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BOI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 43% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Arrive at BOI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BOI?
On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
7pm departures from LAS are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
BOI (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 2,967 ft Visibility 5.66667 mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.