Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3664
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow
WN 3664 · LAS → SNA
departs 4:33 PM PT · arrives 5:47 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 31h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sat 10/31
Tue 11/3 28%
Wed 11/4 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at SNA more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±9 pts
+9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
54%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
54%
Yes 54%
No 46%
Arrive at SNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SNA?
On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
4pm departures from LAS are often late
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SNA (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.06 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.