Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3780
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31
WN 3780 · SFO → LAX
departs 2:24 PM PT · arrives 3:50 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 5:00 AM ET · 60h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sat 10/31
Sun 11/1 61%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±11 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.7d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed – in 24h
–
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed – in 24h
–
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
2pm departures from SFO are often late
↑
SFO is prone to delays
↑
This flight has been late 39% of the time recently
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SFO (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 4,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
LAX (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 2,300 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.10 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.