Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4294
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow
WN 4294 · DAL → MAF
departs 7:31 PM CT · arrives 8:56 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 26h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at MAF more than 15 minutes late?
44%
chance · ±2 pts
+22 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
44%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MAF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +22 pts in 24h
+22 pts
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at MAF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MAF?
On time or early
56%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
7pm departures from DAL are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.08 in
MAF (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 0.4 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.