Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4360
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow
WN 4360 · PHX → BUR
departs 2:56 PM MT · arrives 4:28 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 3:00 PM ET · 27h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at BUR more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±0 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BUR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at BUR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BUR?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
2pm departures from PHX are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at PHX that day
Weather at each end
PHX (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.08 in
BUR (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.18 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.