Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4423
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow
WN 4423 · DEN → OMA
departs 5:18 PM MT · arrives 7:57 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 30h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 45%
Sat 10/31
Sun 11/1 54%
Mon 11/2 37%
Thu 11/5 45%
Odds over time
Arrive at OMA more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±2 pts
+15 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
34%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at OMA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +15 pts in 24h
+15 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Arrive at OMA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to OMA?
On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
5pm departures from DEN are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at OMA that day
↓
Cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at DEN that day
↓
OMA usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
OMA (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.07 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.