Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 44
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow
WN 44 · HOU → DAL
departs 5:21 PM CT · arrives 6:36 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 29h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 37%
Sat 10/31
Mon 11/2 28%
Thu 11/5 32%
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±4 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
5pm departures from HOU are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at HOU that day
↓
Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at DAL that day
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.17 in
DAL (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.