Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 45
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Today
WN 45 · DAL → HOU
departs 5:41 PM CT · arrives 7:03 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 12:00 PM ET · 7h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Tue 11/3 32%
Wed 11/4 42%
Odds over time
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±0 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at HOU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HOU?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This flight has been late 38% of the time recently
↓
Other factors
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DAL
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
HOU (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 1,000 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.