Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4748
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow
WN 4748 · HOU → LAX
departs 7:52 PM CT · arrives 9:23 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 27h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 66%
Sat 10/31
Sun 11/1 37%
Mon 11/2 31%
Thu 11/5 33%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
42%
chance · ±1 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
42%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 57%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 1.11 in
LAX (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.15 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.