Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 532
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow
WN 532 · DAL → MDW
departs 6:21 PM CT · arrives 8:47 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 30h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±1 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at MDW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MDW?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
6pm departures from DAL are often late
↑
This flight has been late 22% of the time recently
↓
Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at DAL that day
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
MDW (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.20 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.