Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 53
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow
WN 53 · DAL → HOU
departs 7:46 PM CT · arrives 9:07 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 27h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±3 pts
+12 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at HOU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HOU?
On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
7pm departures from DAL are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Other factors
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 7 kt
Ceiling 900 ft
Visibility 7 mi
Precip 0.08 in
HOU (destination)
Gusts 8 kt
Ceiling 700 ft
Visibility 5 mi
Precip 1.11 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.