Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 597
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow
WN 597 · MCO → SRQ
departs 8:56 PM ET · arrives 9:54 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 26h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at SRQ more than 15 minutes late?
34%
chance · ±3 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
34%
Leave 15+ late
40%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SRQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed −11 pts in 24h
−11 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Arrive at SRQ more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to SRQ?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
8pm departures from MCO are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Gusts to 29 kt forecast at MCO that day
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 29 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SRQ (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.