Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 611
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Today
WN 611 · BNA → MCI
departs 8:13 PM CT · arrives 10:02 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 1:00 AM ET · 20h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Mon 11/2 25%
Thu 11/5 26%
Fri 11/6 27%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±1 pts
+10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at MCI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCI?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
8pm departures from BNA are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA
↓
MCI usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
BNA (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MCI (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.12 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.