Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 680
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow
WN 680 · BNA → PHX
departs 5:20 PM CT · arrives 7:10 PM MT
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 PM ET · 30h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 50%
Sat 10/31
Sun 11/1 68%
Mon 11/2 34%
Tue 11/3 29%
Wed 11/4 29%
Thu 11/5 31%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±3 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at PHX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
5pm departures from BNA are often late
↑
Arrivals into PHX at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
BNA (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 6,133 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
PHX (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 2,600 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.05 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.