Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 691
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31
WN 691 · HOU → LIR
departs 10:17 AM CT · arrives 12:40 PM CST
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 69h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sat 10/31
Sun 11/1 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at LIR more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±1 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
14%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.5d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LIR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Arrive at LIR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −14 pts in 24h
−14 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LIR?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This route's recent record
↑
Other factors
↑
HOU is prone to delays
↓
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Arrivals into LIR at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.05 in
LIR (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.