Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 697
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow
WN 697 · BUR → RNO
departs 6:06 PM PT · arrives 7:38 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 23h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at RNO more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±4 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
36%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RNO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave BUR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Arrive at RNO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to RNO?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
6pm departures from BUR are often late
↓
RNO usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
BUR (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.03 in
RNO (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.16 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.