Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 753
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Today
WN 753 · BNA → VPS
departs 5:27 PM CT · arrives 6:57 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 1:00 AM ET · 17h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 11/1 42%
Mon 11/2 26%
Thu 11/5 30%
Fri 11/6 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at VPS more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±2 pts
+10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at VPS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at VPS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to VPS?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
5pm departures from BNA are often late
↓
VPS usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA
Weather at each end
BNA (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
VPS (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.