Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 969
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow
WN 969 · MDW → LAX
departs 7:46 PM CT · arrives 10:06 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 9:00 PM ET · 24h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
48%
chance · ±9 pts
−8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
48%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Leave MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 48% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
7pm departures from MDW are often late
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
MDW is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
MDW (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
LAX (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.13 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.