YX 3556 · ORD → STL

departs 9:03 AM CT · arrives 10:47 AM CT

Your aircraft is N758YX (E75L), coming in as YX 3626 from GSO: landed 7:06 AM CT.

Forecast issued Sat 7:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?

12% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to STL?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 9am departures from ORD are often late

↑ ORD is busy at that time

↑ This flight has been late 20% of the time recently

↓ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

STL (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling6,667 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 3556 · ORD → STL

Odds over time

How late will it get to STL?