Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

CAPE AIR · FLIGHT 9K 418 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Sunday, November 1 Today

9K 418 · BOS → ISP

departs 9:42 AM ET · arrives 10:39 AM ET

Forecast issued Sun 1:00 AM ET · 9h before departure

Arrive at ISP more than 15 minutes late?

9% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ BOS is busy at that time

↑ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS

↓ Arrivals into ISP at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ISP (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9K 418 · BOS → ISP

Odds over time