AA 1044 · DFW → BNA

departs 6:02 PM CT · arrives 8:00 PM CT

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

50% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BNA?

On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into BNA at that hour are often late

↓ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at DFW that day

↓ BNA usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

BNA (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.66 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1044 · DFW → BNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to BNA?