AA 1084 · PHX → DFW

departs 2:20 PM MT · arrives 5:37 PM CT

Forecast issued Sat 7:00 PM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

64% chance · ±14 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
34%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
23%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 25 kt, cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi, 2.0 in of rain forecast at PHX that day

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↓ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at DFW that day

↓ Sundays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip2.03 in

DFW (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1084 · PHX → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?