AA 1105 · DFW → GRR

departs 7:27 PM CT · arrives 11:01 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 12:00 AM ET · 21h before departure

Arrive at GRR more than 15 minutes late?

50% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to GRR?

On time or early
50%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 7pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at DFW that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at GRR

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

GRR (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling5,083 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1105 · DFW → GRR

Odds over time

How late will it get to GRR?