AA 1437 · LAX → IND

departs 10:41 AM PT · arrives 6:10 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 2:00 PM ET · 25h before departure

Arrive at IND more than 15 minutes late?

41% chance · ±6 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to IND?

On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 10am departures from LAX are often late

↑ This flight has been late 23% of the time recently

↓ Sundays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ IND usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.30 in

IND (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling2,300 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1437 · LAX → IND

Odds over time

How late will it get to IND?