tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1441 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 1441 · RDU → PHL

departs 5:47 PM ET · arrives 7:21 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 11:00 AM ET · 56h before departure
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
37% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.7d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to PHL?

  1. On time or early
    63%
  2. 15–30 min late
    16%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    10%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    7%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.