Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1587SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow
AA 1587 · PHX → JFK
departs 9:50 PM MT · arrives 4:47 AM ET
Forecast issued Sat 6:00 AM ET · 43h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
33%chance · ±2 pts−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to JFK?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.