AA 1680 · DFW → DSM

departs 12:49 PM CT · arrives 2:52 PM CT

Forecast issued Sat 2:00 PM ET · 25h before departure

Arrive at DSM more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±4 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DSM?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 12pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↓ Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at DFW that day

↓ Sundays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility4 mi Precipnone

DSM (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling1,900 ft Visibility6 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1680 · DFW → DSM

Odds over time

How late will it get to DSM?