Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1758 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow

AA 1758 · DFW → MEM

departs 9:49 PM CT · arrives 11:31 PM CT

Forecast issued Sat 1:00 AM ET · 47h before departure

Arrive at MEM more than 15 minutes late?

58% chance · ±2 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MEM?

On time or early
41%
15–30 min late
23%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This flight has been late 33% of the time recently

↓ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at DFW that day

↓ Sundays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.01 in

MEM (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.61 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1758 · DFW → MEM

Odds over time

How late will it get to MEM?