tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1803 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 1803 · JAX → PHL

departs 6:00 PM ET · arrives 8:23 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 48h before departure
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
35% chance · ±4 pts +2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.8d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to PHL?

  1. On time or early
    63%
  2. 15–30 min late
    14%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    11%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    5%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    4%
  6. Cancelled
    3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.