tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2016 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 2016 · PHX → SJC

departs 1:43 PM MT · arrives 2:53 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 3:00 PM ET · 50h before departure
Arrive at SJC more than 15 minutes late?
51% chance · ±5 pts +0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 6.7d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to SJC?

  1. On time or early
    48%
  2. 15–30 min late
    24%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    10%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    12%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    4%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.