AA 2035 · ORD → MCO

departs 2:53 PM CT · arrives 6:47 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 6:00 PM ET · 23h before departure

Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?

48% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MCO?

On time or early
50%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 25 kt, cloud base down to 900 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at MCO that day

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ MCO usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MCO (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.56 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2035 · ORD → MCO

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCO?