Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2124 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow

AA 2124 · DFW → ORD

departs 11:10 AM CT · arrives 1:32 PM CT

Forecast issued Sat 1:00 AM ET · 36h before departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±4 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ORD?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 11am departures from DFW are often late

↑ This flight has been late 27% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Sundays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.01 in

ORD (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling1,867 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2124 · DFW → ORD

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORD?