tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2197 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 2197 · DFW → JAX

departs 7:07 PM CT · arrives 10:40 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 52h before departure
Arrive at JAX more than 15 minutes late?
37% chance · ±4 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.8d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to JAX?

  1. On time or early
    61%
  2. 15–30 min late
    8%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    18%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    6%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    5%
  6. Cancelled
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.